Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Shenzhenloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shenzhen
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 262 bans
Mars
398 picks · 545 bans
Death Prophet
315 picks · 607 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 361 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 389 bans
Ember Spirit
280 picks · 394 bans
Queen of Pain
278 picks · 450 bans
Templar Assassin
263 picks · 546 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 80%
Hero pool strength50% Shenzhen
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:11
Shenzhen 31%Dandelion Esport Club 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 34:49.
Game 2prediction correct28:19
Shenzhen 31%Dandelion Esport Club 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 31:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 69%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2