Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Stratyk Gamingloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5ManMidaswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stratyk Gaming
Chaos Knightoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Razoroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Wraith Kingoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 263 bans
Mars
398 picks · 543 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 606 bans
Tiny
308 picks · 356 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 395 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 389 bans
Queen of Pain
277 picks · 451 bans
Templar Assassin
264 picks · 542 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Stratyk Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:48
Stratyk Gaming 57%5ManMidas 43%
The model gave 57% on Stratyk Gaming — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 42:35.
Game 2prediction missed11:25
Stratyk Gaming 57%5ManMidas 43%
The model gave 57% on Stratyk Gaming — the game was taken by 5ManMidas in 25:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteStratyk Gaming · 57%
Series result5ManMidas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2