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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Dreamerswin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Interitusloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dreamers

No games played over 6 months.

Interitus

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Rayuur · 7 games
43%
Bane
Bane
DFlash · 5 games
40%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
DFlash · 5 games
40%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Amin · 4 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
DFlash · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
Amin · 4 games
25%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
H1j4ck · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
442 picks · 270 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 544 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
315 picks · 596 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
314 picks · 407 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
306 picks · 346 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
286 picks · 454 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
276 picks · 391 bans
50%
Kunkka
Kunkka
265 picks · 483 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 30%
Hero pool strength53% Dreamers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Dreamers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:22
Dreamers 63%Interitus 37%
The model gave 63% on Dreamers — the game was taken by Interitus in 31:13.
Game 2prediction correct
Dreamers 63%Interitus 37%
The model gave 63% on Dreamers — the game was taken by Dreamers.
Game 3prediction missed18:33
Dreamers 63%Interitus 37%
The model gave 63% on Dreamers — the game was taken by Interitus in 38:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteDreamers · 63%
Series resultDreamers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3