Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
Bane
Hduo · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
445 picks · 266 bans
Mars
396 picks · 546 bans
Weaver
323 picks · 409 bans
Death Prophet
315 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
299 picks · 335 bans
Queen of Pain
291 picks · 460 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 380 bans
Kunkka
268 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% CHILLAX
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 77%
Series resultCHILLAX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect