Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingloss 1:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
441 picks · 267 bans
Mars
396 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
327 picks · 410 bans
Death Prophet
312 picks · 569 bans
Tiny
300 picks · 324 bans
Queen of Pain
295 picks · 462 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 375 bans
Kunkka
267 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 78%
Hero pool strength50% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:27
Ybb Gaming 24%Dandelion Esport Club 76%
The model gave 76% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 44:58.
Game 2prediction correct27:9
Ybb Gaming 24%Dandelion Esport Club 76%
The model gave 76% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 38:22.
Game 3prediction correct24:10
Ybb Gaming 24%Dandelion Esport Club 76%
The model gave 76% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 31:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 76%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3