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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Mariano · 6 games
100%
Bane
Bane
Prada · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
80%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rises · 5 games
80%
Tusk
Tusk
Pamplona · 5 games
100%

Thunder Awaken

Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 16 games
94%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 15 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
DarkMago · 14 games
93%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 14 games
86%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 11 games
91%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 11 games
73%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
DarkMago · 10 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Matthew · 9 games
89%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
451 picks · 269 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 543 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 428 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
320 picks · 548 bans
53%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
312 picks · 475 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 310 bans
50%
Kunkka
Kunkka
274 picks · 502 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 371 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 79%
Hero pool strength57% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total79% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:30
Infamous 21%Thunder Awaken 79%
The model gave 79% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 32:55.
Game 2prediction correct11:37
Infamous 21%Thunder Awaken 79%
The model gave 79% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 34:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 79%
Series resultThunder Awaken 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2