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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
59%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 24 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 20 games
70%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 19 games
79%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 18 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NothingToSay · 18 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
fy · 17 games
47%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 39 games
62%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 31 game
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 25 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
594 picks · 924 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 421 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
477 picks · 516 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
436 picks · 294 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
414 picks · 1056 bans
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 579 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 566 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
390 picks · 671 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:19
Xtreme Gaming 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerAme
47% · 283 games51% · 249 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Largo
LargoXxs
60% · 95 games55% · 211 games
Sand KinggpK~
Sand King
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
57% · 471 game51% · 328 games
BatriderMieRo
Batrider
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
44% · 338 games44% · 500 games
TinySave-
Tiny
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
50% · 286 games42% · 185 games
PhoenixKataomi
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed7:25
Xtreme Gaming 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerAme
46% · 222 games57% · 103 games
InvokergpK~
Invoker
Viper
ViperNothingToSay
53% · 103 games40% · 125 games
SvenKiritych
Sven
Brewmaster
BrewmasterXxs
50% · 99 games51% · 222 games
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonfy
50% · 279 games50% · 335 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
47% · 303 games55% · 221 game
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 3prediction correct13:11
Xtreme Gaming 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
49% · 409 games45% · 602 games
Dragon KnightKiritych
Dragon Knight
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
50% · 206 games51% · 276 games
TimbersawMieRo
Timbersaw
Puck
PuckNothingToSay
50% · 511 games51% · 381 game
SlardargpK~
Slardar
Jakiro
JakiroxNova
49% · 787 games53% · 422 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonfy
52% · 358 games50% · 590 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3