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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 7 games
29%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
43%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 6 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dominic · 5 games
20%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 4 games
75%

No Sorry

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 10 games
20%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 10 games
30%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 9 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
33%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 8 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 7 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 6 games
17%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
450 picks · 269 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 541 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 429 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
318 picks · 546 bans
53%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
314 picks · 476 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
283 picks · 308 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 370 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
271 picks · 502 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% YNT
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total53% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:24
YNT 48%No Sorry 52%
The model gave 52% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 38:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyDarkLord^
50% · 321 game52% · 199 games
Templar Assassinlayme
Templar Assassin
Pugna
PugnaMalr1ne
45% · 53 games51% · 147 games
KunkkaWorick
Kunkka
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightDominic
48% · 186 games52% · 179 games
Death ProphetLastHero-
Death Prophet
Hoodwink
HoodwinkdSa
49% · 240 games49% · 175 games
Pangoliery0nd
Pangolier
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magejesv
47% · 83 games57% · 183 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Game 2prediction correct40:33
YNT 50%No Sorry 50%
The model gave 50% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry in 42:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerDarkLord^
55% · 123 games49% · 287 games
Tinylayme
Tiny
Mars
MarsDominic
51% · 472 games48% · 265 games
Death ProphetLastHero-
Death Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
51% · 234 games46% · 217 games
Sand KingWorick
Sand King
Techies
Techiesjesv
44% · 25 games48% · 231 game
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
Bane
BanedSa
54% · 347 games48% · 201 game
DisruptorBLACKARXANGEL
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 53%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2