Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Gorillaz-Pride
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
Tusksignature
Genek · 7 games
Bane
Genek · 5 games
Hoodwink
d1smar · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
NaoG · 5 games
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
451 picks · 270 bans
Mars
394 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 431 bans
Death Prophet
319 picks · 545 bans
Queen of Pain
313 picks · 478 bans
Tiny
283 picks · 306 bans
Kunkka
273 picks · 501 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 370 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:27
SG e-sports 60%Gorillaz-Pride 40%
The model gave 60% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 35:04.
Game 2prediction missed28:43
SG e-sports 60%Gorillaz-Pride 40%
The model gave 60% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 37:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 60%
Series resultGorillaz-Pride 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2