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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gambit Esports

No games played over 6 months.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 30 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 26 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 20 games
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 19 games
47%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 19 games
53%
Bane
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
72%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Ainkrad · 18 games
61%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
450 picks · 270 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 538 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
334 picks · 433 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
317 picks · 545 bans
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
315 picks · 479 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
282 picks · 305 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 368 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
272 picks · 502 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total73% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:14
Gambit Esports 73%Nemiga Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:50.
Game 2prediction missed21:39
Gambit Esports 73%Nemiga Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 73%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2