Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 271 bans
Mars
406 picks · 533 bans
Weaver
341 picks · 442 bans
Queen of Pain
324 picks · 485 bans
Death Prophet
308 picks · 547 bans
Kunkka
276 picks · 504 bans
Tiny
276 picks · 298 bans
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 367 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 65%
Hero pool strength50% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:13
Lilgun 36%Gambit Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 23:57.
Game 2prediction correct42:30
Lilgun 36%Gambit Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 47:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 64%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2