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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Into The Breachwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 15 games
40%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
27%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 10 games
70%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
jmn- · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 8 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Lowskill · 8 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 7 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Qupe · 7 games
43%

Into The Breach

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Era · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 9 games
56%
Bane
Banesignature
Peksu · 8 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 7 games
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Era · 6 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Xibbe · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Charlie · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
457 picks · 273 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
406 picks · 533 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
342 picks · 444 bans
53%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
325 picks · 487 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
309 picks · 546 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
278 picks · 505 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
276 picks · 298 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 368 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 29%
Hero pool strength61% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:39
IVY 44%Into The Breach 56%
The model gave 56% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 28:06.
Game 2prediction correct38:17
IVY 44%Into The Breach 56%
The model gave 56% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 31:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 56%
Series resultInto The Breach 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2