Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 6 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
464 picks · 273 bans
Mars
406 picks · 534 bans
Weaver
340 picks · 443 bans
Queen of Pain
325 picks · 490 bans
Death Prophet
313 picks · 542 bans
Kunkka
278 picks · 507 bans
Tiny
274 picks · 295 bans
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 372 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Hokori
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total58% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 58%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictioncorrect