Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Grimstroke
jesv · 6 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Dominic · 5 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 5 games
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
Bane
dSa · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
465 picks · 277 bans
Mars
404 picks · 537 bans
Weaver
346 picks · 446 bans
Queen of Pain
331 picks · 492 bans
Death Prophet
312 picks · 537 bans
Kunkka
284 picks · 509 bans
Tiny
269 picks · 291 bans
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:14
Gambit Esports 83%YNT 17%
The model gave 83% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by YNT in 42:50.
Game 2prediction missed39:23
Gambit Esports 83%YNT 17%
The model gave 83% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by YNT in 43:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 83%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2