Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Thunder Awakenwin 2:1series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thunder Awaken
Marssignature
DarkMago · 17 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 16 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 16 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 12 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Matthew · 11 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Matthew · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
DarkMago · 10 games
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
467 picks · 277 bans
Mars
407 picks · 539 bans
Weaver
347 picks · 453 bans
Queen of Pain
334 picks · 494 bans
Death Prophet
316 picks · 538 bans
Kunkka
285 picks · 514 bans
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 372 bans
Tiny
267 picks · 291 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 56%
Hero pool strength65% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 87%
Series resultThunder Awaken 2:1
Series predictioncorrect