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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Interitusloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ravenswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Interitus

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Rayuur · 7 games
43%
Bane
Bane
DFlash · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
DFlash · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
Amin · 4 games
25%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
H1j4ck · 4 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Amin · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
H1j4ck · 4 games
50%

Ravens

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
d1smar · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Cara · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Cara · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Benjaz · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
d1smar · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
467 picks · 278 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
408 picks · 542 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
347 picks · 455 bans
53%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
334 picks · 496 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
316 picks · 538 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
284 picks · 515 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
270 picks · 373 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
265 picks · 291 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:32
Interitus 38%Ravens 62%
The model gave 62% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 36:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageFCR
47% · 48 games55% · 172 games
TerrorbladeDaaD-
Terrorblade
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightH1j4ck
46% · 239 games54% · 148 games
TimbersawBenjaz
Timbersaw
Void Spirit
Void Spiritmurd0c
48% · 268 games50% · 268 games
PuckÑengoflow KELOKE
Puck
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAmin
45% · 289 games52% · 170 games
Tinyd1smar
Tiny
Undying
UndyingDFlash
57% · 109 games45% · 195 games
SnapfireCara
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct5:21
Interitus 38%Ravens 62%
The model gave 62% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 25:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
Kunkkamurd0c
46% · 206 games47% · 191 game
TinyDaaD-
Tiny
Naga Siren
Naga SirenFCR
49% · 32 games44% · 158 games
Storm SpiritÑengoflow KELOKE
Storm Spirit
Death Prophet
Death ProphetH1j4ck
50% · 219 games58% · 49 games
LycanBenjaz
Lycan
Oracle
OracleDFlash
52% · 60 games57% · 147 games
Shadow Demond1smar
Shadow Demon
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinAmin
49% · 170 games52% · 142 games
IoCara
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 71%
Series resultRavens 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2