Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamwin 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dreamersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
467 picks · 277 bans
Mars
405 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
346 picks · 457 bans
Queen of Pain
336 picks · 494 bans
Death Prophet
315 picks · 536 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 515 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 373 bans
Tiny
263 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Wolf Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:31
Wolf Team 53%Dreamers 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Dreamers in 29:12.
Game 2prediction missed18:34
Wolf Team 53%Dreamers 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Dreamers in 32:52.
Game 3prediction missed41:19
Wolf Team 53%Dreamers 47%
The model gave 53% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Dreamers in 34:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 53%
Series resultWolf Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3