Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 5 games
Rubick
The Warden · 5 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 4 games
Team DogChamp
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Phantom Lancersignature
StoneBank · 6 games
Sand Kingoften banned
lukiluki · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
471 picks · 281 bans
Mars
406 picks · 542 bans
Weaver
347 picks · 456 bans
Queen of Pain
344 picks · 497 bans
Death Prophet
315 picks · 530 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 517 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 370 bans
Grimstroke
263 picks · 193 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 59%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect