Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Centaur Warrunner
Corrupted · 1 game
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
Pugnaoften banned
smN · 1 game
Rikioften banned
Hellscream · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Corrupted · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
Treant Protector
smN · 1 game
Rune Eaters
Dragon Knight
TA2000 · 1 game
Iooften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Marsoften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Watson · 1 game
Mirana
ArrOw · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
hAze · 1 game
Puckoften banned
hAze · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
470 picks · 280 bans
Mars
405 picks · 544 bans
Weaver
347 picks · 456 bans
Queen of Pain
345 picks · 497 bans
Death Prophet
315 picks · 525 bans
Kunkka
282 picks · 516 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 367 bans
Grimstroke
263 picks · 193 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:22
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 45%Rune Eaters 55%
The model gave 55% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 35:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinMunkushi~
LinahAze
MarsCorrupted
Anti-MageTA2000
RikiHellscream
Keeper of the LightArrOw
BanesmN
Game 2prediction missed58:43
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 45%Rune Eaters 55%
The model gave 55% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 58:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaMunkushi~
PuckhAze
Sand KingCorrupted
TinyTA2000
PhoenixHellscream
SnapfireArrOw
UndyingsmN
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 63%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2