Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Grimstroke
Fezor · 5 games
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 4 games
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 4 games
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
477 picks · 278 bans
Mars
397 picks · 547 bans
Queen of Pain
361 picks · 507 bans
Weaver
358 picks · 472 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 509 bans
Kunkka
288 picks · 522 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 361 bans
Grimstroke
270 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:30
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 44%cybercats 56%
The model gave 56% on cybercats — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 46:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaMunkushi~
Chaos KnightShigetsu
Sand KingCorrupted
Queen of PainUSHUSHUSH
Dark WillowHellscream
PangolierActor
Treant ProtectorsmN
GrimstrokeFezor
58% · 234 games
BaneHduo
Game 2prediction missed37:26
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 44%cybercats 56%
The model gave 56% on cybercats — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 37:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyMunkushi~
LunaShigetsu
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
InvokerUSHUSHUSH
PugnasmN
Death ProphetActor
RikiHellscream
Ogre MagiHduo
44% · 73 games
ClockwerkFezor
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 61%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2