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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Bald Rebornloss 1:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bald Reborn

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rajjix · 6 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
20%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
Eixn · 5 games
40%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pablo · 5 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
20%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Gorgc · 4 games
50%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
475 picks · 279 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 548 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
363 picks · 505 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
358 picks · 473 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
313 picks · 508 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
288 picks · 524 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 360 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
269 picks · 190 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% Chicken Fighters
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:31
Team Bald Reborn 33%Chicken Fighters 67%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 27:49.
Game 2prediction missed33:35
Team Bald Reborn 33%Chicken Fighters 67%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 1:02:11.
Game 3prediction correct16:39
Team Bald Reborn 33%Chicken Fighters 67%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 44:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 67%
Series resultChicken Fighters 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3