Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 8 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 8 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
473 picks · 281 bans
Mars
396 picks · 548 bans
Queen of Pain
365 picks · 506 bans
Weaver
358 picks · 476 bans
Death Prophet
311 picks · 506 bans
Kunkka
288 picks · 525 bans
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 358 bans
Grimstroke
269 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 41%
Hero pool strength55% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total80% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:9
Gambit Esports 80%No Sorry 20%
The model gave 80% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 34:21.
Game 2prediction missed15:29
Gambit Esports 80%No Sorry 20%
The model gave 80% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 26:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 80%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2