Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
King Of Kingsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
476 picks · 280 bans
Mars
397 picks · 546 bans
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 514 bans
Weaver
360 picks · 480 bans
Death Prophet
314 picks · 496 bans
Kunkka
291 picks · 522 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 354 bans
Grimstroke
270 picks · 191 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 23%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 61%
Series resultHokori 2:1
Series predictioncorrect