?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
King Of Kingsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Valquiria · 12 games
75%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 12 games
42%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 9 games
11%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 7 games
57%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 6 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
67%

King Of Kings

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
470 picks · 275 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
390 picks · 536 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
368 picks · 506 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
356 picks · 474 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
310 picks · 478 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
289 picks · 514 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 342 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
269 picks · 189 bans
44%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 24%
Hero pool strength51% King Of Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:12
Infinity Esports 52%King Of Kings 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 31:15.
Game 2prediction missed9:32
Infinity Esports 52%King Of Kings 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 32:32.
Game 3prediction missed10:33
Infinity Esports 52%King Of Kings 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 29:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 52%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3