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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Into The Breachloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.

Into The Breach

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Era · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Charlie · 5 games
80%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 5 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Era · 5 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Era · 5 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
457 picks · 274 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 528 bans
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
368 picks · 501 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
354 picks · 472 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
298 picks · 470 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
286 picks · 507 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 331 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
266 picks · 188 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength58% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total67% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:37
Chicken Fighters 67%Into The Breach 33%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 53:31.
Game 2prediction missed7:36
Chicken Fighters 67%Into The Breach 33%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 25:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 67%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2