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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:1
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LBZSloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 9 games
44%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 5 games
20%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 5 games
20%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 5 games
40%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 5 games
20%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
CatYou · 4 games
25%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Shanks · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
448 picks · 271 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
380 picks · 521 bans
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
369 picks · 500 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
350 picks · 476 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
289 picks · 449 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
284 picks · 504 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 185 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 319 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 35%
Hero pool strength54% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total84% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:33
Royal Never Give Up 84%LBZS 16%
The model gave 84% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by LBZS in 43:27.
Game 2prediction missed19:7
Royal Never Give Up 84%LBZS 16%
The model gave 84% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by LBZS in 29:29.
Game 3prediction missed44:15
Royal Never Give Up 84%LBZS 16%
The model gave 84% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by LBZS in 38:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 84%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3