Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Prideloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dreamerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorillaz-Pride
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
Tusksignature
Genek · 7 games
Bane
Genek · 5 games
Hoodwink
d1smar · 5 games
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
NaoG · 4 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
449 picks · 272 bans
Mars
377 picks · 521 bans
Queen of Pain
370 picks · 498 bans
Weaver
351 picks · 477 bans
Death Prophet
289 picks · 446 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 502 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:45
Gorillaz-Pride 54%Dreamers 46%
The model gave 54% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Dreamers in 42:28.
Game 2prediction missed15:36
Gorillaz-Pride 54%Dreamers 46%
The model gave 54% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Dreamers in 33:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 54%
Series resultDreamers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2