Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entitywin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 25 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 24 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
444 picks · 266 bans
Queen of Pain
371 picks · 499 bans
Mars
368 picks · 510 bans
Weaver
350 picks · 481 bans
Death Prophet
281 picks · 429 bans
Kunkka
281 picks · 495 bans
Grimstroke
262 picks · 181 bans
Ember Spirit
258 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 52%
Hero pool strength58% Hydra
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total73% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:43
Entity 73%Hydra 27%
The model gave 73% on Entity — the game was taken by Hydra in 30:04.
Game 2prediction missed5:29
Entity 73%Hydra 27%
The model gave 73% on Entity — the game was taken by Hydra in 24:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 73%
Series resultEntity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2