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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
No Sorryloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 29 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
57%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 20 games
45%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 20 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
58%
Bane
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 17 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 17 games
59%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 7 games
29%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 7 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 6 games
17%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 264 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 497 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 507 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 482 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
282 picks · 491 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
272 picks · 417 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
260 picks · 178 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
252 picks · 298 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:45
Nemiga Gaming 60%No Sorry 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:03:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
47% · 115 games53% · 105 games
UrsaDinozavrik
Ursa
Venomancer
VenomancerAinkrad
55% · 48 games50% · 224 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Mars
MarsTheChosenOne
51% · 324 games49% · 284 games
Grimstrokey0nd
Grimstroke
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAstral
40% · 76 games56% · 69 games
SlardarLastHero-
Slardar
Bane
BaneVANSKOR
49% · 193 games51% · 74 games
UndyingBLACKARXANGEL
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 69%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1