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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO1
result vs prediction
No Sorrywin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
YNTloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 7 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 6 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 6 games
17%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
y0nd · 4 games
50%

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
80%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 4 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 3 games
67%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Dominic · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 264 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 495 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 507 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 482 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
282 picks · 491 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
271 picks · 415 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
260 picks · 178 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
251 picks · 298 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% YNT
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:3
No Sorry 52%YNT 48%
The model gave 52% on No Sorry — the game was taken by YNT in 56:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomLastHero-
50% · 62 games47% · 93 games
Phantom AssassinDarkLord^
Phantom Assassin
Hoodwink
Hoodwinky0nd
48% · 86 games50% · 46 games
Skywrath Magejesv
Skywrath Mage
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritWorick
52% · 111 games46% · 126 games
Sand KingDominic
Sand King
Juggernaut
JuggernautDinozavrik
55% · 41 game53% · 29 games
NecrophosMalr1ne
Necrophos
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
57% · 31 game49% · 37 games
PugnadSa
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 52%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1