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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:1
YNTwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 29 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 23 games
48%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 21 game
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 20 games
45%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 20 games
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 17 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 17 games
47%

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
75%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Dominic · 3 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
dSa · 3 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 3 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 3 games
33%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 263 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
377 picks · 495 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
357 picks · 503 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 486 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
281 picks · 488 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
265 picks · 410 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
261 picks · 177 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
249 picks · 298 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:38
Nemiga Gaming 60%YNT 40%
The model gave 60% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by YNT in 36:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracAinkrad
51% · 170 games47% · 156 games
Wraith KingDarkLord^
Wraith King
Monkey King
Monkey KingKiritych
47% · 199 games53% · 143 games
TimbersawMalr1ne
Timbersaw
Sand King
Sand KingTheChosenOne
45% · 160 games54% · 170 games
Death ProphetDominic
Death Prophet
Enchantress
EnchantressHeaven
46% · 139 games53% · 102 games
Earth Spiritjesv
Earth Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionVANSKOR
50% · 110 games55% · 207 games
BanedSa
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 72%
Series resultYNT 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1