Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopter
Parker · 7 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 7 games
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Bane
Prada · 4 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
429 picks · 263 bans
Queen of Pain
379 picks · 494 bans
Mars
352 picks · 500 bans
Weaver
341 picks · 487 bans
Kunkka
279 picks · 474 bans
Death Prophet
257 picks · 391 bans
Grimstroke
253 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
247 picks · 336 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total67% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:12
Infamous 67%Hokori 33%
The model gave 67% on Infamous — the game was taken by Hokori in 33:12.
Game 2prediction missed15:26
Infamous 67%Hokori 33%
The model gave 67% on Infamous — the game was taken by Hokori in 32:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 67%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2