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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Monkey Businessloss 0:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Monkey Business

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 4 games
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
antoha · 3 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
xannii · 3 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
illusion · 3 games
33%
Bane
Bane
antoha · 2 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
RodjER · 2 games
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
MieRo · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Egor · 2 games
50%

cybercats

Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Fezor · 3 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fezor · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
Fezor · 3 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
0%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
50%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
429 picks · 263 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
378 picks · 492 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
350 picks · 499 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
340 picks · 487 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
279 picks · 473 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
255 picks · 388 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
251 picks · 172 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
247 picks · 336 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% No Monkey Business
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% No Monkey Business
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:42
No Monkey Business 57%cybercats 43%
The model gave 57% on No Monkey Business — the game was taken by cybercats in 34:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinxannii
45% · 124 games57% · 121 game
BloodseekerShigetsu
Bloodseeker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetEgor
51% · 182 games45% · 152 games
Sand KingUSHUSHUSH
Sand King
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
46% · 173 games54% · 55 games
Slardarspirit
Slardar
Weaver
Weaverantoha
50% · 185 games57% · 217 games
Shadow DemonFezor
Shadow Demon
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkillusion
51% · 150 games44% · 269 games
GrimstrokeHduo
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction missed32:30
No Monkey Business 59%cybercats 41%
The model gave 59% on No Monkey Business — the game was taken by cybercats in 40:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEgor
44% · 184 games46% · 84 games
JuggernautShigetsu
Juggernaut
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidxannii
58% · 104 games51% · 71 game
Earth Spiritspirit
Earth Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
61% · 183 games43% · 134 games
Sand KingUSHUSHUSH
Sand King
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkillusion
52% · 137 games49% · 125 games
ClockwerkFezor
Clockwerk
Pugna
Pugnaantoha
66% · 14 games40% · 208 games
GrimstrokeHduo
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Monkey Business · 64%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2