Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitwin 2:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 29 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 24 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 21 game
Rubick
Heaven · 21 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 17 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 17 games
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
431 picks · 263 bans
Queen of Pain
379 picks · 495 bans
Mars
350 picks · 498 bans
Weaver
342 picks · 491 bans
Kunkka
280 picks · 474 bans
Death Prophet
254 picks · 385 bans
Grimstroke
249 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
247 picks · 336 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:39
AS Monaco Gambit 33%Nemiga Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 42:49.
Game 2prediction correct18:35
AS Monaco Gambit 33%Nemiga Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 67%
Series resultAS Monaco Gambit 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2