Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
TNC Predatorloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lilgunwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TNC Predator
Queen of Painoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 7 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 6 games
Dark Willow
PlayHard · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
PlayHard · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bombi · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 5 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
431 picks · 263 bans
Queen of Pain
381 picks · 493 bans
Mars
351 picks · 498 bans
Weaver
343 picks · 492 bans
Kunkka
280 picks · 472 bans
Death Prophet
253 picks · 384 bans
Grimstroke
248 picks · 173 bans
Wraith King
248 picks · 337 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% TNC Predator
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:33
TNC Predator 50%Lilgun 50%
The model gave 50% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Lilgun in 42:21.
Game 2prediction missed9:26
TNC Predator 50%Lilgun 50%
The model gave 50% on TNC Predator — the game was taken by Lilgun in 33:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTNC Predator · 50%
Series resultLilgun 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2