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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Sorrywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 28 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 24 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 21 game
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 21 game
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Bane
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 16 games
69%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
VANSKOR · 16 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 16 games
50%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 6 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 6 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
y0nd · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 4 games
25%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 4 games
25%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
BLACKARXANGEL · 3 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
431 picks · 264 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
382 picks · 492 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
350 picks · 490 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
346 picks · 494 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
279 picks · 478 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
255 picks · 372 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
250 picks · 334 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
247 picks · 174 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:26
Nemiga Gaming 70%No Sorry 30%
The model gave 70% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by No Sorry in 29:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaKiritych
48% · 137 games52% · 301 game
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireTheChosenOne
47% · 190 games47% · 113 games
JuggernautDinozavrik
Juggernaut
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAinkrad
46% · 168 games54% · 212 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Mirana
MiranaHeaven
54% · 130 games57% · 75 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinVANSKOR
53% · 139 games40% · 63 games
Skywrath Magey0nd
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct32:23
Nemiga Gaming 68%No Sorry 32%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAinkrad
57% · 131 game47% · 97 games
Phantom AssassinDinozavrik
Phantom Assassin
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordKiritych
53% · 52 games47% · 115 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaTheChosenOne
47% · 9 games52% · 29 games
Keeper of the Lighty0nd
Keeper of the Light
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageHeaven
47% · 39 games60% · 38 games
SlardarLastHero-
Slardar
Abaddon
AbaddonVANSKOR
45% · 75 games44% · 27 games
OmniknightBLACKARXANGEL
Omniknight
Game 3prediction missed11:45
Nemiga Gaming 69%No Sorry 31%
The model gave 69% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by No Sorry in 29:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
48% · 153 games55% · 66 games
UrsaDinozavrik
Ursa
Sand King
Sand KingAinkrad
50% · 92 games45% · 58 games
Nature's ProphetLastHero-
Nature's Prophet
Viper
ViperTheChosenOne
51% · 86 games51% · 191 game
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressHeaven
48% · 122 games47% · 218 games
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
Disruptor
DisruptorVANSKOR
44% · 127 games67% · 47 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 81%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3