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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 18 games
33%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Pyw · 18 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Pyw · 14 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Victoria · 13 games
69%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Victoria · 13 games
54%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 12 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Xm · 12 games
83%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Irving · 11 games
45%

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
433 picks · 269 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
387 picks · 493 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
353 picks · 494 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 490 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
284 picks · 475 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
250 picks · 335 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
246 picks · 353 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
244 picks · 172 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head6 – 4
Model total70% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:28
Vici Gaming 30%Royal Never Give Up 70%
The model gave 70% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 29:09.
Game 2prediction correct11:28
Vici Gaming 30%Royal Never Give Up 70%
The model gave 70% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 37:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 70%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2