Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Happy Sealswin 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stratyk Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Stratyk Gaming
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Wraith Kingoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
439 picks · 272 bans
Queen of Pain
390 picks · 501 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 501 bans
Mars
347 picks · 488 bans
Kunkka
289 picks · 471 bans
Wraith King
249 picks · 334 bans
Spirit Breaker
245 picks · 459 bans
Death Prophet
242 picks · 337 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 78%
Hero pool strength56% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Stratyk Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteStratyk Gaming · 60%
Series resultHappy Seals 2:0
Series predictionmissed