Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Teamloss 1:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Omega Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Omega Gaming
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 6 games
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 5 games
Gyrocopter
Mingatte · 4 games
Hoodwink
Demon · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Lissex · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Mingatte · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Lissex · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
442 picks · 283 bans
Queen of Pain
401 picks · 507 bans
Weaver
364 picks · 519 bans
Mars
352 picks · 498 bans
Kunkka
287 picks · 483 bans
Spirit Breaker
254 picks · 475 bans
Wraith King
250 picks · 337 bans
Snapfire
248 picks · 101 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:27
Wolf Team 41%Omega Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 24:40.
Game 2prediction correct39:17
Wolf Team 41%Omega Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 28:48.
Game 3prediction correct35:43
Wolf Team 41%Omega Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 41:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 59%
Series resultOmega Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3