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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fighterswin 2:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Winter Bearloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.

Winter Bear

Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Flash · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Exotic Deer · 6 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Ekki · 5 games
40%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 4 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 4 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Ekki · 4 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Exotic Deer · 4 games
75%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Exotic Deer · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
444 picks · 284 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
402 picks · 509 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
364 picks · 522 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
350 picks · 501 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
290 picks · 482 bans
51%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
256 picks · 476 bans
51%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 338 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
247 picks · 101 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Winter Bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:29
Chicken Fighters 62%Winter Bear 38%
The model gave 62% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Winter Bear in 49:57.
Game 2prediction missed35:2
Chicken Fighters 62%Winter Bear 38%
The model gave 62% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Winter Bear in 27:41.
Game 3prediction missed42:9
Chicken Fighters 62%Winter Bear 38%
The model gave 62% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Winter Bear in 34:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 62%
Series resultChicken Fighters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3