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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Pridewin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Interitusloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gorillaz-Pride

Snapfire
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
43%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Lina
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Genek · 4 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
d1smar · 4 games
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 4 games
75%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Cara · 4 games
50%

Interitus

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Rayuur · 5 games
40%
Bane
Bane
DFlash · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
DFlash · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Amin · 4 games
50%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
FCR · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
H1j4ck · 3 games
33%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
DFlash · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
449 picks · 298 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 519 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
365 picks · 538 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
359 picks · 498 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
291 picks · 482 bans
52%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
265 picks · 489 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
252 picks · 341 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
248 picks · 102 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 25%
Hero pool strength60% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Gorillaz-Pride
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:35
Gorillaz-Pride 61%Interitus 39%
The model gave 61% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 53:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracTaO
52% · 112 games55% · 127 games
Templar AssassinFCR
Templar Assassin
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNaoG
46% · 90 games52% · 43 games
Nature's Prophetmurd0c
Nature's Prophet
Hoodwink
HoodwinkGenek
50% · 128 games52% · 80 games
Sand KingH1j4ck
Sand King
Undying
UndyingYadomi
41% · 39 games56% · 18 games
VenomancerAmin
Venomancer
49% · 101 game
EnchantressDFlash
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct35:57
Gorillaz-Pride 59%Interitus 41%
The model gave 59% on Gorillaz-Pride — the game was taken by Gorillaz-Pride in 1:06:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritTaO
50% · 131 game47% · 102 games
Queen of Painmurd0c
Queen of Pain
Tiny
TinyNaoG
52% · 139 games49% · 101 game
Sand KingH1j4ck
Sand King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritGenek
54% · 59 games49% · 80 games
LifestealerFCR
Lifestealer
Enchantress
EnchantressYadomi
53% · 99 games41% · 37 games
UndyingDFlash
Undying
50% · 108 games
HoodwinkAmin
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteGorillaz-Pride · 67%
Series resultGorillaz-Pride 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2