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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quincy Crew

No games played over 6 months.

Wildcard Gaming

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
83%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
100%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
33%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
464 picks · 304 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
423 picks · 526 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
373 picks · 562 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 508 bans
52%
Kunkka
Kunkka
294 picks · 493 bans
51%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
275 picks · 511 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
258 picks · 348 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
253 picks · 116 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 37%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:33
Quincy Crew 74%Wildcard Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 31:41.
Game 2prediction missed45:30
Quincy Crew 74%Wildcard Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 56:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 74%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2