Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dreamersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoPing VPN
Banesignature
Accel · 16 games
Snapfire
Michael · 13 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 10 games
Miranasignature
sl4d1n- · 10 games
Iooften banned
KJ · 9 games
Lunaoften banned
RdO · 9 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 9 games
Ogre Magisignature
Accel · 8 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
464 picks · 311 bans
Queen of Pain
425 picks · 528 bans
Weaver
378 picks · 563 bans
Mars
367 picks · 513 bans
Kunkka
297 picks · 494 bans
Spirit Breaker
280 picks · 519 bans
Wraith King
258 picks · 344 bans
Snapfire
255 picks · 116 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:22
NoPing VPN 52%Dreamers 48%
The model gave 52% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 38:22.
Game 2prediction correct34:18
NoPing VPN 52%Dreamers 48%
The model gave 52% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 52%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2