Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Shenzhenloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Shenzhen
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
471 picks · 318 bans
Queen of Pain
432 picks · 531 bans
Weaver
382 picks · 575 bans
Mars
370 picks · 522 bans
Kunkka
301 picks · 496 bans
Spirit Breaker
291 picks · 529 bans
Wraith King
260 picks · 346 bans
Snapfire
257 picks · 121 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:33
Invictus Gaming 73%Shenzhen 27%
The model gave 73% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Shenzhen in 51:31.
Game 2prediction missed24:20
Invictus Gaming 73%Shenzhen 27%
The model gave 73% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Shenzhen in 40:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 73%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2