Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs predictionMYM Yloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TATeam Apes Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
M Y
Linaoften banned
Beebie · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
LionaX · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Beebie · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
KNP · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
KNP · 2 games
Marsoften banned
MyPro · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
KNP · 2 games
Abaddon
LionaX · 1 game
Team Apes Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
480 picks · 328 bans
Queen of Pain
435 picks · 535 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 587 bans
Mars
376 picks · 535 bans
Kunkka
307 picks · 503 bans
Spirit Breaker
301 picks · 537 bans
Snapfire
265 picks · 126 bans
Wraith King
262 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Team Apes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Team Apes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Apes Esports · 55%
Series resultTeam Apes Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect