Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
KOBOLDSloss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MYM Ywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KOBOLDS
Wraith Kingoften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
Gyrocopter
FortuneSoul · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
FortuneSoul · 1 game
M Y
Linaoften banned
Beebie · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
LionaX · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Beebie · 3 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
KNP · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
KNP · 2 games
Marsoften banned
MyPro · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
KNP · 2 games
Abaddon
LionaX · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
480 picks · 330 bans
Queen of Pain
437 picks · 536 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 592 bans
Mars
378 picks · 535 bans
Kunkka
308 picks · 505 bans
Spirit Breaker
302 picks · 538 bans
Snapfire
265 picks · 127 bans
Wraith King
262 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% KOBOLDS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% KOBOLDS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKOBOLDS · 64%
Series resultM Y 1:2
Series predictionmissed