Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs predictionFFromBloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TTideWithStoutwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
FromB
No games played over 6 months.
TideWithStout
Death Prophetoften banned
Copy · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Clockwerk
Rein · 1 game
Disruptor
Rein · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Hoodwink
Rein · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 364 bans
Queen of Pain
471 picks · 583 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 689 bans
Mars
427 picks · 612 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 552 bans
Spirit Breaker
338 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 159 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 369 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% TideWithStout
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% FromB
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:31
FromB 54%TideWithStout 46%
The model gave 54% on FromB — the game was taken by TideWithStout in 25:28.
Game 2prediction missed7:24
FromB 54%TideWithStout 46%
The model gave 54% on FromB — the game was taken by TideWithStout in 24:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteFromB · 54%
Series resultTideWithStout 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2