GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO5
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 2:3series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:3
BOOM Esportswin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Banesignature
Fata · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Fata · 14 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Skiter · 13 games
Weaversignature
Sneyking · 12 games
Doomoften banned
33 · 11 games
Queen of Painsignature
Nine · 11 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Sneyking · 10 games
Dark Seersignature
33 · 9 games
BOOM Esports
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 26 games
Weaversignature
Skem · 21 game
Banesignature
Skem · 18 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 17 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 16 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 364 bans
Queen of Pain
471 picks · 581 bans
Weaver
428 picks · 686 bans
Mars
425 picks · 611 bans
Kunkka
347 picks · 549 bans
Spirit Breaker
338 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 159 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 369 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 76%
Hero pool strength56% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:8
Tundra Esports 43%BOOM Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 32:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSkiter
Troll WarlordJaCkky
Doom33
Ember SpiritYopaj
Legion CommanderNine
MarsFbz
IoSneyking
Dark WillowTims
HoodwinkSaksa
Death ProphetSkem
Game 2prediction correct12:32
Tundra Esports 43%BOOM Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 34:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSkiter
Faceless VoidJaCkky
Void SpiritNine
Death ProphetFbz
Sand King33
InvokerYopaj
HoodwinkSaksa
TidehunterTims
AbaddonSneyking
WeaverSkem
Game 3prediction missed28:8
Tundra Esports 45%BOOM Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 33:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSkiter
JuggernautJaCkky
TimbersawNine
KunkkaYopaj
Tidehunter33
BeastmasterFbz
Death ProphetSneyking
IoTims
HoodwinkSaksa
DisruptorSkem
Game 4prediction correct11:20
Tundra Esports 45%BOOM Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightSkiter
Templar AssassinYopaj
Broodmother33
BristlebackJaCkky
MarsNine
Sand KingFbz
GrimstrokeSaksa
HoodwinkTims
Death ProphetSneyking
Keeper of the LightSkem
Game 5prediction correct18:29
Tundra Esports 43%BOOM Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 46:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautSkiter
Templar AssassinYopaj
Sand King33
RazorJaCkky
JakiroNine
BrewmasterFbz
Shadow DemonSaksa
HoodwinkTims
DisruptorSneyking
GrimstrokeSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 58%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5