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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Red flowerwin 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
LT GAMINGloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Red flower

Abaddon
Abaddon
sheep · 2 games
100%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Killa · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
doodle · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
doodle · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
sheep · 1 game
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
doodle · 1 game
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Killa · 1 game
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Killa · 1 game
100%

LT GAMING

Disruptor
Disruptor
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
0%
Phoenix
Phoenix
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
536 picks · 365 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
470 picks · 571 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
424 picks · 609 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
422 picks · 695 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
349 picks · 543 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
318 picks · 159 bans
48%
Wraith King
Wraith King
278 picks · 366 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Red flower
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% LT GAMING
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteLT GAMING · 61%
Series resultRed flower 2:1
Series predictionmissed