Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Serpentloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Stratyk Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Serpent
No games played over 6 months.
Stratyk Gaming
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Tiny
Adrx · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
468 picks · 568 bans
Mars
423 picks · 607 bans
Weaver
422 picks · 695 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 538 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
317 picks · 159 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 364 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Serpent
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:25
Team Serpent 56%Stratyk Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Serpent — the game was taken by Stratyk Gaming in 39:12.
Game 2prediction missed12:24
Team Serpent 56%Stratyk Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Serpent — the game was taken by Stratyk Gaming in 22:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Serpent · 56%
Series resultStratyk Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2